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Earnings thesis change · rubric v1.0

CB Chubb Ltd

Fiscal Q3 FY2026 · quarter ended September 30, 2026 · reported 2026-10-20
SEC filings and exhibits only
Earnings filing (8-K) · Latest 10-Q filings
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 at 9:37 PM UTC
ACCOUNTING RISK · CLEAR No auditor changes, restatements, late filings, or listing notices in the last 12 months. from SEC filings · 2026-10-09
Thesis change

Weakened

Legacy analysis

Detailed dimension scores were not computed for pre-v1 analyses. Full six-dimension scoring resumes with filings processed by the current pipeline.

Reported facts

GAAP facts are reported by the company. Comparable figures are EarnIQ arithmetic using only quantified adjustments disclosed in the linked SEC exhibit.

Reported EPS and revenue have not yet been extracted from the filing.

1. Three decisive changes

Largest quantified changes versus the company's own history.

-0.5%
Revenue — year over year

$14.8B vs $14.8B a year ago · quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.

-0.2%
Net income — year over year

$2.3B vs $2.3B a year ago · quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.

2. Was it already expected?

Consensus classifications require timestamped pre-report snapshots and eight-quarter surprise history.

ItemActualExpectedGapClass
Consensus comparison coming soon.

3. Management consistency

Only attributable, measurable and dated commitments are counted. Delivery record: Not available.

PromiseTargetOutcomeStatusEvidence
No measurable, dated management promises have been verified for this record.

4. What matters next

One deciding measurable condition plus up to two supporting checkpoints.

No source-backed deciding threshold is available yet.
Guidance in management's words

No quantitative guidance was provided in the earnings release.

5. Risks that changed

New or materially worsened items only; unchanged boilerplate is omitted.

No new or materially worsened risk has been source-verified.
From 10-K filings · EDGAR
0
new risk disclosures added
3
old ones removed

FY2025 10-K vs prior year, boilerplate filtered out — these are idiosyncratic changes, and tone is slightly less negative.

6. Evidence drawer

Source location, short anchor and visible arithmetic for every verified claim.

DC1 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Revenue · quarter ended 2026-03-31
Revenue: -0.5% year over year
(14,773,000,000 − 14,849,000,000) ÷ 14,849,000,000 = -0.5% YoY
DC2 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Net income · quarter ended 2026-03-31
Net income: -0.2% year over year
(2,320,000,000 − 2,324,000,000) ÷ 2,324,000,000 = -0.2% YoY