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Earnings thesis change · rubric v1.0

GILD GILEAD SCIENCES, INC.

Fiscal Q3 FY2026 · reported 2026-08-04
SEC filings and exhibits only
Earnings filing (8-K) · Latest 10-Q filings
Last updated: Aug 25, 2026 at 4:35 AM UTC
ACCOUNTING RISK · CLEAR No auditor changes, restatements, late filings, or listing notices in the last 12 months. from SEC filings · 2026-10-09
Thesis change

Strengthened

Legacy analysis
Guidance+1

Current guidance was classified as raised.

Low confidence

Legacy analysis: only the dimensions classifiable by the pre-v1 pipeline are shown.

Reported facts

GAAP facts are reported by the company. Comparable figures are EarnIQ arithmetic using only quantified adjustments disclosed in the linked SEC exhibit.

Reported EPS and revenue have not yet been extracted from the filing.

Earnings quality

From 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings. Sloan (1996) accruals: high accruals relative to assets have historically preceded earnings disappointments. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

4 / 5
Good — cash is doing the heavy lifting
Earnings look cash-backed — accruals are 0.6% of assets, in the strongest quintile of large caps.
CY2018Q3Accruals / assets (TTM)CY2022Q4

Depreciation is disclosed annually by most filers, so quarterly values blend actuals with estimates — flagged on every reading. Method: TTM Sloan accruals ÷ average assets, scored 1–5 by quintile.

1. Three decisive changes

Largest quantified changes versus the company's own history.

-898.2%
Net income — year over year

$-10.5B vs $1.3B a year ago · quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.

-564.6%
Operating income — year over year

$-10.4B vs $2.2B a year ago · quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.

+17.0%
Revenue — year over year

$7.8B vs $6.7B a year ago · quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.

2. Was it already expected?

Consensus classifications require timestamped pre-report snapshots and eight-quarter surprise history.

ItemActualExpectedGapClass
Consensus comparison coming soon.

3. Management consistency

Only attributable, measurable and dated commitments are counted. Delivery record: Not available.

PromiseTargetOutcomeStatusEvidence
No measurable, dated management promises have been verified for this record.

4. What matters next

One deciding measurable condition plus up to two supporting checkpoints.

No source-backed deciding threshold is available yet.
Guidance in management's words

Gilead updated full year 2026 product sales to $30,100 to $30,400 million, while adjusting EPS loss expectations.

5. Risks that changed

New or materially worsened items only; unchanged boilerplate is omitted.

No new or materially worsened risk has been source-verified.
From 10-K filings · EDGAR
16
new risk disclosures added
13
old ones removed

FY2025 10-K vs prior year, boilerplate filtered out — these are idiosyncratic changes, and tone is slightly more negative.

New risk disclosure #1

“• Foreign Currency Exchange: Because a significant percentage of our product sales is denominated in foreign currencies, primarily the Euro, we face exposure to adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates. Overa…”

New risk disclosure #2

“• developing and maintaining a robust and reliable process for engineering a patient’s T cells in our facilities and infusing them back into the patient;…”

New risk disclosure #3

“• Actions by the current U.S. Presidential administration to reorganize federal health agencies or reduce or pause funding for domestic and international HIV treatment and prevention programs and grants, such as the U.S.…”

6. Evidence drawer

Source location, short anchor and visible arithmetic for every verified claim.

DC1 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Net income · quarter ended 2026-06-30
Net income: -898.2% year over year
(-10,496,000,000 − 1,315,000,000) ÷ 1,315,000,000 = -898.2% YoY
DC2 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Operating income · quarter ended 2026-06-30
Operating income: -564.6% year over year
(-10,394,000,000 − 2,237,000,000) ÷ 2,237,000,000 = -564.6% YoY
DC3 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Revenue · quarter ended 2026-06-30
Revenue: +17.0% year over year
(7,803,000,000 − 6,667,000,000) ÷ 6,667,000,000 = +17.0% YoY