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IBM · Q2 2026

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP

Reported 2026-07-22
MIXED
45EarnIQ signal

Confidence falling

Mild quarter-over-quarter shift

IBM raised full-year revenue guidance despite late-quarter headwinds, signaling confidence in its AI and software portfolio.

  • Guidance was raised, with high specificity.
  • Management tone registered as confident (75/100).
  • EarnIQ detected 0 potential management deflections.
Headline–confidence gap

Mixed evidence

The headline and management signals do not point in one direction (confidence falling).

EPS: reported vs expected-2.3%$2.93 vs $3.00
Revenue: reported vs expected— vs —
Guidance specificityHighRaised
Market expectations supplied by Finnhub · Reported vs consensus estimate

We now expect constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent, and we continue to expect free cash flow to increase by about $1 billion year-over-year for the full year.

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Guidance specificityPressure pointNarrative breakSource evidence
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