Current guidance was classified as maintained.
Low confidenceEarnings filing (8-K) · Latest 10-Q filings
Last updated: Aug 25, 2026 at 4:48 AM UTC
Unchanged
Legacy analysis: only the dimensions classifiable by the pre-v1 pipeline are shown.
- Legacy analysis: scored by the pre-v1 pipeline; deep evidence has not been re-verified.
Reported facts
GAAP facts are reported by the company. Comparable figures are EarnIQ arithmetic using only quantified adjustments disclosed in the linked SEC exhibit.
Reported EPS and revenue have not yet been extracted from the filing.
Earnings quality
From 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings. Sloan (1996) accruals: high accruals relative to assets have historically preceded earnings disappointments. Descriptive research, not a prediction.
Depreciation is disclosed annually by most filers, so quarterly values blend actuals with estimates — flagged on every reading. Method: TTM Sloan accruals ÷ average assets, scored 1–5 by quintile.
1. Three decisive changes
Largest quantified changes versus the company's own history.
$6.1B vs $5.0B a year ago · quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.
$2.2B vs $1.9B a year ago · quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.
2. Was it already expected?
Consensus classifications require timestamped pre-report snapshots and eight-quarter surprise history.
| Item | Actual | Expected | Gap | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus comparison coming soon. | ||||
3. Management consistency
Only attributable, measurable and dated commitments are counted. Delivery record: Not available.
| Promise | Target | Outcome | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No measurable, dated management promises have been verified for this record. | ||||
4. What matters next
One deciding measurable condition plus up to two supporting checkpoints.
Maintained full-year 2026 production guidance of 5.3 million attributable gold ounces alongside consistent capital expenditure plans.
5. Risks that changed
New or materially worsened items only; unchanged boilerplate is omitted.
FY2025 10-K vs prior year, boilerplate filtered out — these are idiosyncratic changes, and tone is slightly less negative.
6. Evidence drawer
Source location, short anchor and visible arithmetic for every verified claim.
Revenue: +22.1% year over year
(6,118,000,000 − 5,010,000,000) ÷ 5,010,000,000 = +22.1% YoYNet income: +16.4% year over year
(2,202,000,000 − 1,891,000,000) ÷ 1,891,000,000 = +16.4% YoY