Guidance+1
Current guidance was classified as raised.
Low confidenceSEC filings and exhibits only
Earnings filing (8-K) · Latest 10-Q filings
Last updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 8:34 PM UTC
Earnings filing (8-K) · Latest 10-Q filings
Last updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 8:34 PM UTC
ACCOUNTING RISK · CLEAR
No auditor changes, restatements, late filings, or listing notices in the last 12 months.
from SEC filings · 2026-10-09
Thesis change
Strengthened
Legacy analysis
Legacy analysis: only the dimensions classifiable by the pre-v1 pipeline are shown.
- Legacy analysis: scored by the pre-v1 pipeline; deep evidence has not been re-verified.
- 5 thesis dimension(s) lack comparable evidence
Reported facts
GAAP facts are reported by the company. Comparable figures are EarnIQ arithmetic using only quantified adjustments disclosed in the linked SEC exhibit.
Reported EPS and revenue have not yet been extracted from the filing.
Earnings quality
From 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings. Sloan (1996) accruals: high accruals relative to assets have historically preceded earnings disappointments. Descriptive research, not a prediction.
Weak — accruals are doing the heavy lifting
Reported profits have been driven more by accounting accruals than cash. Latest quarter: accruals equal 3.6% of assets — in the weakest quintile of large caps.
CY2024Q2Accruals / assets (TTM)CY2026Q1
Depreciation is disclosed annually by most filers, so quarterly values blend actuals with estimates — flagged on every reading. Method: TTM Sloan accruals ÷ average assets, scored 1–5 by quintile.
1. Three decisive changes
Largest quantified changes versus the company's own history.
-18.4%
Net income — year over year
$382.0M vs $468.0M a year ago · quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.
-7.7%
Operating income — year over year
$636.0M vs $689.0M a year ago · quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.
-2.5%
Revenue — year over year
$3.9B vs $4.0B a year ago · quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 · from 10-Q XBRL filings.
2. Was it already expected?
Consensus classifications require timestamped pre-report snapshots and eight-quarter surprise history.
| Item | Actual | Expected | Gap | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus comparison coming soon. | ||||
3. Management consistency
Only attributable, measurable and dated commitments are counted. Delivery record: 2 being tracked.
| Promise | Target | Outcome | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| raising the midpoint of our full-year adjusted earnings per share outlook and narrowing the guidance range to $7.90 to $8.10eps · made 2026-10-27 | $7.90 to $8.10full-year 2026 | — | Pending | 8-K 0000079879-26-0003 |
| We expect low single-digit percentage organic growth in the fourth quarterrevenue · made 2026-10-27 | low single-digit percentagefourth quarter 2026 | — | Pending | 8-K 0000079879-26-0003 |
4. What matters next
One deciding measurable condition plus up to two supporting checkpoints.
The deciding condition
EPS for the guided period lands within $7.9–$8.1
StrengthensReported EPS above $8.1
InvalidatesReported EPS below $7.9
Management raised the midpoint and narrowed the full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range to $7.90 to $8.10, and projected low single-digit percentage organic growth for the fourth quarter.
5. Risks that changed
New or materially worsened items only; unchanged boilerplate is omitted.
No new or materially worsened risk has been source-verified.
From 10-K filings · EDGAR
10
new risk disclosures added
10
old ones removed
FY2025 10-K vs prior year, boilerplate filtered out — these are idiosyncratic changes, and tone is slightly more negative.
New risk disclosure #1
“from emerging technologies such as advanced automation or artificial intelligence and may be difficult to detect for periods of time. As a result we may face difficulties in anticipating and implementing adequate prevent…”
New risk disclosure #2
“lowering demand for our automotive refinish coatings. In addition, through the introduction of new technologies, new business models or new methods of travel, such as ridesharing, the number of automotive OEM new-builds …”
New risk disclosure #3
“2025 PPG ANNUAL REPORT AND FORM 10-K 10…”
6. Evidence drawer
Source location, short anchor and visible arithmetic for every verified claim.
DC1 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Net income · quarter ended 2026-03-31Net income: -18.4% year over year
(382,000,000 − 468,000,000) ÷ 468,000,000 = -18.4% YoYDC2 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Operating income · quarter ended 2026-03-31Operating income: -7.7% year over year
(636,000,000 − 689,000,000) ÷ 689,000,000 = -7.7% YoYDC3 10-Q / 10-K XBRL filings (US-GAAP, via EDGAR)
Revenue · quarter ended 2026-03-31Revenue: -2.5% year over year
(3,930,000,000 − 4,032,000,000) ÷ 4,032,000,000 = -2.5% YoYWN1 8-K Exhibit 99.1 (earnings release, via EDGAR)
Guidance disclosed for Q3 FY2026EPS for the guided period lands within $7.9–$8.1
Strengthens: Reported EPS above $8.1 · Invalidates: Reported EPS below $7.9